COMMUNITY TRANSFORMATION FORUM

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Impacts of  Climate Change

 

                                                                  Food insecurity

Climate change is an amplifying fundamental cause of food insecurity.

Carbon dioxide is the number-one reason for man-made climate change.

Climate change affects the economy, our emotions, and the growth of societies.

Food shortages and high prices for staple foods have risen than ever, leading to many people in Africa and some parts of Asia to starve because many of them live on less than a dollar a day.

Food prices have been affordable for decades, but the tide has now turned. While farmers and producers profit from the price hikes, consumers all over the world are seeing a growing share of their income go towards buying simple staple foods.


 

Prices for wheat and corn reached record highs in 2007, while global food reserves reached a 25-year low. The UN Food and Agricultural Organization reported food price inflation reached 18 percent in China that year, 13 percent in Indonesia and Pakistan, and 10 percent or more in Latin America, Russia, and India. Wheat doubled in price, and rice was 20-percent more expensive. Prices have since come off their peaks but hunger still stalks the poor.

 

The combined effects of erratic weather linked to climate change, increased energy and input prices, growing demand in emerging markets like China and India, and increased demand for biofuels is pushing food prices up and poor people will suffer most.

 

These rises in food prices, led to riots in many countries over food shortages.

In 2007, food issues boiled over in some the world's richest countries. The rise of pasta prices led to a one-day strike in Italy, Britain and the United States also saw food prices increase by an average of 4 percent, an unusually high annual spike for both countries.

 

 

Since the beginning of the industrial revolution, the average amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased by nearly 40 percent from an estimated 280 to more than 380 ppmv percent.

This increase in Carbon dioxide’s share of the atmosphere is mostly due to man-induced factors, such as burning fossil fuels, deforestation and industrial production. 

 

The key, underlying factors for hunger in the future are independent of climate change, and related more directly to population growth and low socio-economic capacity.

Climate change will superimpose itself - mainly through increased aridity and heat stress in areas that are at the margin of production - to an already battered region, much need to be done.

 

The changing climate means that people in many areas no longer know what to plant, or when to plant.

Things may get considerably worse earlier, possibly as soon as the next decade, if things like frequency of extreme climate events on the climate side, and competition for bio-energy and food demand from China and India on the economic side, grow steadily.

 

Reasons for high food prices .

 

Food reserves have been hit by various factors, including the switch to bio-fuels, drought in Australia, Niger, Sudan, Parts of Uganda, Chad, floods in the UK, a badly affected wheat crop in Canada, etc.

 

In India, rice prices have hiked because of higher gas prices and transportation costs.

The rising cost of tortillas and many other corn-based products can be pinned at least partly on a booming U.S. ethanol fuel industry, which now consumes about a fifth of the U.S. corn harvest each year.

 

Concerns over food prices, however, go beyond relatively short-term economic problems like the credit crunch. The UN predicts that world population will grow to around 9 billion people by mid-century, and with it the demand for food will be higher. Global warming will also become a driving factor.

   

Bushfires

Changing Climate fans the flames, this was witnessed in forest {Bushfires} in Kenya,  California, Australia, etc

 

Australia’s recent bushfires were the continent’s worst natural disaster in a century. Wildfires in the southern Australian state of Victoria wiped out entire towns, destroyed more than 1,800 houses and left 7,000 people homeless. More than 200 people died.

The weather preceding the Victorian bushfires was extreme, nearly one week of maximum daily temperatures in excess of 45 degrees Celsius. Even at night temperatures never dropped below 30 degrees. Melbourne even recorded its hottest day ever. These conditions meant the bush was tinder dry and large areas of the State were on Extreme Fire Alert.

                                                        


 

Water Cycle

 

Global warming is intensifying the water cycle in the process of precipitation, infiltration, and evaporation.

 

Every system requires energy: the more energy, the more vigorous the system. The sun powers the life-giving system that is the water cycle and thanks to greenhouse gases, there is more energy, or simply heat, in the system.

 

As result, the amount of moisture circulating through the atmosphere has increased as well. That’s why CTF predicts that global warming will lead to an “intensification” of the water cycle, leading to heavier rainfall in some areas leading to severe floods and more severe drought in other regions. 

 

It is already happening. “In West Africa, there is anecdotal information that the monsoon is starting later, finishing earlier and is characterized by more intensive rain. I have heard the same from Sri Lanka,” says Colin Chartres, director of the International Water Management Institute (IWMI).

 

With impacts differing all over the globe, a priority for scientists is to figure out how climate change will affect specific river basins and other local water resources.

 

Precipitation

As a general trend, wet areas are getting wetter, and dry areas are getting drier. The United Nations Environment Program (UNEP) reports that rainfall could increase 10 to 40 percent in wet regions, mostly in the northern hemisphere, and decrease 10 to 30 percent in dry regions, mostly in the southern hemisphere. Extreme rainfall in the form of more powerful and frequent storms, and extreme drought, will be more frequent, and more intense.

The poor will be the first to feel the impact of changing precipitation patterns. In the meantime, greater rainfall in northern areas could replenish groundwater stocks, although it could also lead to excessive river flows and flooding.